Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.650751 6.439207 7.307751 8.337100 9.525821 10.857919 12.467227
2025-06-15 4.741880 5.803696 7.066970 8.686956 10.718199 13.192453 16.452396
2025-06-22 4.087539 5.268852 6.755425 8.775904 11.469575 14.963673 19.882474
2025-06-29 3.571518 4.799001 6.415091 8.717866 11.946121 16.357015 22.919387
2025-07-06 3.161135 4.400176 6.095567 8.611375 12.294958 17.561089 25.785903
2025-07-13 2.947920 4.238233 6.067412 8.885561 13.182178 19.590882 30.070128
2025-07-20 2.748767 4.068534 6.000195 9.079349 13.950504 21.504807 34.392876
2025-07-27 2.614162 3.976137 6.030276 9.411690 14.951867 23.869293 39.716553
2025-08-03 2.373871 3.696203 5.742787 9.206943 15.058554 24.788841 42.713263
2025-08-10 2.182951 3.474698 5.523317 9.083706 15.275157 25.896111 46.149483
2025-08-17 2.017951 3.279219 5.325933 8.972859 15.492014 27.011871 49.719348
2025-08-24 1.864095 3.088234 5.117761 8.819713 15.611302 27.954244 53.063084
2025-08-31 1.715766 2.896436 4.895297 8.625884 15.647007 28.765752 56.300713
2025-09-07 1.672158 2.881301 4.975739 8.984326 16.743909 31.694075 64.184271
2025-09-14 1.590820 2.792199 4.916564 9.076125 17.336494 33.703488 70.427366
2025-09-21 1.495120 2.669128 4.784923 9.015883 17.619776 35.118017 75.572256
2025-09-28 1.401411 2.542189 4.635340 8.905430 17.787095 36.305853 80.365810
2025-10-05 1.366022 2.521363 4.682992 9.189813 18.798188 39.387807 89.951035
2025-10-12 1.322521 2.481385 4.689977 9.390824 19.651328 42.221165 99.360412
2025-10-19 1.297883 2.475888 4.763368 9.735584 20.852263 45.970331 111.587523
2025-10-26 1.214674 2.348236 4.582814 9.523182 20.785613 46.793932 116.499619
2025-11-02 1.146660 2.246342 4.446915 9.395343 20.898266 48.050839 122.730312
2025-11-09 1.084999 2.153107 4.321935 9.280363 21.028517 49.363226 129.306400